Using distributions instead of picks

Because every answer is a distribution, the engine can scale an outcome by how sure a character was. A 0.95 read of an open host earns a bigger opening than a 0.55 one, so not every decision is equally committed.

Flattening a distribution to its argmax throws away the most useful thing in it. Parlour keeps the mass and uses it in three places.

Three continuous uses

  • Effort scales with belief. A character who is 95% sure the host is open gets a bigger opening than one at 55%. Same action, different commitment.
  • Risk is the complement. The odds of a rumour being traced back to you are 1 - P(safe), taken straight off the answer instead of a fixed leak chance.
  • Confidence is the mass on the chosen move. That single number drives the per-class confidence floors, which is how a character can be written as doubts herself without a personality paragraph.

It is also the most watchable thing on screen

In full detail the brain board prints the runners-up: approach_host 0.71 · hold_court 0.25 · withdraw 0.02. A near-miss you can see is what makes the room read as somebody deciding instead of a token being moved. It is also the only honest way to show an almost, since a chat model asked what it nearly did would make something up.

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